Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 50.284110 57.799875 65.546933 74.093077 83.221805 92.648983 103.088714
2025-12-28 41.038431 51.972984 63.802641 77.403086 92.469892 108.527411 126.816255
2026-01-04 34.903309 47.677368 62.009440 78.975300 98.235145 119.179882 143.451342
2026-01-11 29.117873 42.926459 58.979676 78.504601 101.156379 126.220993 155.689917
2026-01-18 24.527671 38.988334 56.381114 78.063824 103.703348 132.496731 166.759742
2026-01-25 21.179350 36.179047 54.797893 78.522222 107.038414 139.460722 178.424623
2026-02-01 17.873965 33.041752 52.510972 77.877108 108.862617 144.515059 187.763339
2026-02-08 15.291740 30.579741 50.847356 77.801376 111.205716 150.045163 197.541054
2026-02-15 12.761263 27.889721 48.665773 76.895158 112.397237 154.107438 205.519029
2026-02-22 11.257125 26.533094 48.129225 77.974123 115.934011 160.883812 216.616436
2026-03-01 10.039754 25.472439 47.897056 79.369745 119.805734 168.020146 228.108684
2026-03-08 8.277343 23.301230 45.962754 78.417671 120.656250 171.460367 235.182718
2026-03-15 6.517294 20.880456 43.527990 76.712538 120.516215 173.699939 240.863080
2026-03-22 6.148296 20.923169 44.688285 79.855671 126.555240 183.477509 255.564590
2026-03-29 5.475689 20.290590 44.779322 81.497374 130.640810 190.848106 267.373644
2026-04-05 4.439238 18.753120 43.384341 81.010764 131.922394 194.733530 274.965060
2026-04-12 3.553268 17.338228 42.073066 80.563636 133.198665 198.571664 282.468413
2026-04-19 2.938981 16.394692 41.442164 81.029831 135.638185 203.831205 291.678350
2026-04-26 2.247240 15.063941 40.077246 80.373432 136.543938 207.141475 298.491995
2026-05-03 1.737648 14.041201 39.148718 80.296358 138.183157 211.345581 306.378065
2026-05-10 1.224010 12.773039 37.693614 79.374147 138.638482 214.022640 312.367461
2026-05-17 0.983818 12.298100 37.607723 80.472146 141.812659 220.136082 322.578893
2026-05-24 0.802974 11.960798 37.745074 81.892215 145.418005 226.796099 333.467092